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Interact CardioVasc Thorac Surg 2008;7:564-568. doi:10.1510/icvts.2007.174144 © 2008 European Association of Cardio-Thoracic Surgery
EuroSCORE predicts health-related quality of life after coronary artery bypass grafting
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| Abstract |
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0.03 in the 15D score was achieved by 50.6% of patients at 6 months, 40.0% at 18 months and 35.9% at 36 months. The rates were similar among patients with increasing EuroSCORE at 6 and 18 months, but tended to decrease at 36 months in the highest EuroSCORE group (EuroSCORE 0–2: 46.8%; 3–5: 34.8%; and 6–14: 33.3%, respectively, P=0.13). Both additive (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, AUC: 0.582, P=0.024) and logistic EuroSCORE (AUC: 0.575, P=0.039) were predictors of a significant increase of the 15D score. The best cut-off value of the additive EuroSCORE for prediction of a clinically important improvement of the 15D score during 3-year follow-up was 3, as 46.7% of patients with EuroSCORE 0–3 and 30.1% of patients with a score >3 (P=0.006) improved clinically. The present study showed that the EuroSCORE also predicts long-term HRQoL after CABG.
Key Words: EuroSCORE; Myocardial revascularization; Quality of life
| 1. Introduction |
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| 2. Methods |
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The 15D is a non-disease-specific measure [9] which has been shown to be a feasible instrument in predicting HRQoL also for CAD patients [10, 11]. It describes the health status along 15 dimensions, which cover the physical, psychological and social aspects of health defined by the World Health Organisation (WHO). The single index score, 15D score, is presented on a 0–1 scale. The maximum score is 1 (no problems on any dimension) and the minimum score 0 (being dead). A change of
0.03 in the 15D score was interpreted as minimum clinically significant change [10, 12, 13].
Patient-related factors, preoperative clinical state and cardiac-related factors were estimated according to the EuroSCORE criteria [1]. Both additive and logistic risk of mortality was calculated for each patient. In the low-risk group (EuroSCORE additive risk 0–2) there were 122 patients, in the medium-risk group (additive risk 3–5) 128 patients and in the high-risk group (additive risk
6) 52 patients.
Operation technique was in 93.7% of cases conventional bypass grafting augmented with cardiopulmonary perfusion, whereas 6.3% of operations were minimally invasive direct (MIDCAB) or off-pump (OPCAB) operations. Time for extracorporeal circulation (ECC) was mean (±S.D.) 104±28 min in the low-risk group, 112±33 min in the medium-risk group and 117±40 min in the high-risk group. Aortic X-clamp time was 86±25 min, 88±29 min, and 90±25 min, respectively. The rather long X-clamp time in all groups is explained by the practice, according to which all anastomoses were performed during single X-clamp, and continuous retrograde tepid blood cardioplegia was used for protection of the myocardium. The practice even allows a quite lengthy aortic occlusion time without compromising the safety of the myocardial protection. Mean number of distal anastomoses among the groups was 3.9±1.3, 4.2±1.1 and 4.2±1.2. Internal thoracic artery (ITA) was used in 96.8%, 92.2% and 82.6% of operations, respectively.
Continuous variables are reported as mean±standard deviation (S.D.). Baseline and follow-up variables were compared using paired samples t-test or analysis of variance (ANOVA). Cumulative survival was calculated using the Kaplan–Meier method and the log-rank test was used to compare survival between patient groups. Differences of 15D scores between risk groups were assessed by the Pearson's
2, Mann–Whitney's and Kruskal–Wallis' tests, as well as the repeated measure test. Correlation between continuous variables was assessed by Spearman's test. Receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve was used to estimate the predictive value of the additive and logistic EuroSCOREs for any significant increase on 15D score as defined by
0.03 over the preoperative score. Statistical analysis was performed using SPSS statistical software for Windows (SPSS version 14.0.1, SPSS Inc., Chicago, IL). A P<0.05 was considered statistically significant.
| 3. Results |
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Fig. 1 shows that the 15D score significantly improved until 6 months (289 survivors, P<0.0001) and despite a decline from 6 months onwards the score was still significantly higher at 18 months than preoperatively (282 survivors, P=0.001). Interestingly, the impairment continued from 18 months onwards and at 36 months after the operation the 15D score approached the preoperative level. 50.6% of patients were improved clinically at 6 months, 40.0% at 18 months and 35.9% at 36 months.
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The best cut-off value of the additive EuroSCORE for prediction of a clinically significant improvement of the 15D score was three at the 36-month follow-up. Among patients with a EuroSCORE from 0 to 3, the rate of clinically significant improvement of the 15D score was 46.7%, whereas it was 30.1% among those with an additive EuroSCORE 3 (P=0.006, sensitivity 67.3%, specificity 50.3%, accuracy 57.0%). This cut-off did not predict clinically significant improvement of the 15D score either at 6 months (P=0.83) or 18 months (P=0.52). Fig. 3 shows the pattern of change in the 15D scores in patients with additive EuroSCORE from 0 to 3 and those with an additive EuroSCORE from 4 to 14.
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| 4. Discussion |
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Earlier reports estimating HRQoL have demonstrated short-term and long-term improvement after CABG both in male and female patients. The most significant exception is for elderly patients, aged over 75 years [11]. However, there are no reports on the discriminatory ability of a preoperative risk stratification model to predict HRQoL after CABG.
In the present study, EuroSCORE predicted longer ICU stay, longer total hospitalization, more complications and poorer long-term survival in high-risk patients paralleling with previous findings. In addition, both additive and logistic EuroSCORE correlated significantly with the 15D score and thereby with the HRQoL during the whole observation time of 36 months.
Patients with a low additive risk had significantly improved HRQoL during the first 6 months after the operation and the improvement lasted well into the observation period. The finding may have been predictable because low-risk patients are relatively young and generally have good preserved left ventricular function and little co-morbidity. Extracardiac arteriopathy, renal failure and depressed left ventricular ejection fraction have been shown to be predictors of long-term outcome in patients with CAD. Co-morbidity like this, together with the ageing process, is likely to be responsible for the lack of significant increase in the HRQoL of high-risk patients later in the follow-up, as herein has been observed.
A significant difference was observed in the HRQoL between low-risk and high-risk patients before the surgery. The difference increased during follow-up although HRQoL initially improved even among high-risk patients. The most important mutual nominator here is age, which has quite strong significance to the EuroSCORE risk but also has been shown to have impact on impaired HRQoL in older ages after CABG [11]. CABG does give improved value on the HRQoL even for high-scoring patients, but for a shorter time than for low-scoring patients.
An important question is how to interpret the minimum clinically or practically important or significant change in the used measure to be such that people can feel the difference in the HRQoL. For the 15D measure a score change of 0.03 has observed to be such. Against this background an increase in the 15D score – and thereby in the HRQoL – which was detected in half of the patients at six months and in one-third of patients at 36 months, may be acceptable. There is still an area between –0.03 and +0.03 change in the score, in which either improvement or impairment may have taken place on some important dimensions for individual patients but the overall score does not valuate the change. However, an improvement on at least one or more dimensions, which are related to healing or physical performance, may have been important for a single patient although the total score did not evidence a significant change. A decreasing trend of the 15D score in high-risk patients later along the postoperative course may mostly depend on more frequent co-morbidity and on normal ageing process.
In the present study we also evaluated separately both the additive and logistic EuroSCORE in predicting HRQoL and observed that both were predictors of clinically important increase of 15D score at 36 months, although the sensitivity and specificity of the score test was not optimal. Our study showed that a significant long-term improvement in the HRQoL is expected in patients with an additive EuroSCORE
3 as the best cut-off value in this scoring system. Practically the finding signifies that male patients under 75 years and female patients under 70 years, with good LVEF and without other co-morbidity, might obtain the best prospect for better HRQoL as related to a significant improvement of the 15D score. A forthcoming study with a larger patient population is still required to assess the possible difference between a disease specific and a non-disease specific measure in predicting quality of life of CABG patients on the basis of risk scoring like EuroSCORE.
The present study was carried out in a single regional centre with a quite low volume of annual CABG procedures. The study was prospective but as the sample was collected over quite a long period of time it was not totally consecutive in respect to the whole cohort of CABG patients operated on during the period. However, the recruitment of the patients took place before coronary angiography and treatment was decided on after the invasive examination. Thus, the arrangement of the study plan may reduce the possible selection bias and its impact on the study outcome. The material reflects mostly elective surgery for CAD and its results should be extended with caution to the general population of patients undergoing CABG. On the other hand, the participation of the survivors in the study achieved a high level and drop-outs were few, which gives strength to the study and its conclusions.
On the basis of these results, we conclude that EuroSCORE, beyond the prediction of postoperative survival, also predicts long-term HRQoL after CABG. Patients with an additive EuroSCORE
3 are more likely to experience a significant increase in HRQoL three years after CABG.
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